- Twelve-month sales by value for spirits flat at -0.3%
- Similar performance for volumes in 2024 – -0.9%
When NABCA published the figures for 2023 – when sales by value were up by 2.9% on steadying volumes of +0.4% – the spirits industry was left in no doubt that the post-pandemic honeymoon period was over. The latest data for last year, announced earlier this week, confirms not only the conclusion reached 12 months ago, but also the scale of the problem.
With stagnation both for value and volume sales in 2024, the spirits category in the US has started at virtually zero for the year ahead.
The good news first; at around 20% growth in both metrics, spirits-based RTDs is where the excitement’s at. The stronger showing for the segment’s volumes versus value implies that premiumisation may not be the best area to focus on, but in a field of negativity, growth of any kind is not to be sniffed at.
The only other bright spot in the country’s Control States comes from tequila, where value was up 7.4% on volumes of +6.2%. Granted, this is a slower trajectory than in 2023 (+12% value, +9.8% volumes), but again, take a look around the rest of the category.
American whiskey sales straddled the line, delivering flattish value as volumes declined by 1.6%. From here, all else is red.
Where the rate of volumes decreases outstripped those of value sales – as is the case for Canadian whisky, gin, rum and scotch – last year’s figures highlight that the premiumisation trend is holding steady and that wider macroeconomic issues hold sway. The alarm bells start to ring, however, for brandy/cognac and Irish whiskey, both of which saw value sales fall faster than volumes. For the former, the situation appears structural in nature – nor is this new news, given the results of the likes of Moët Hennessy and Rémy Cointreau over the past couple of years.
Irish whiskey brand owners, meanwhile, have every right to be worried; In 2023, the segment’s Control States sales rose by 1.4% in value as volumes slipped by 2.2%. Last year’s numbers – -6% in value, -5% in volumes – suggest that trouble this way comes.
The data from NABCA measures spirits sales across 17 US states [and Montgomery County in Maryland] where distribution is state-controlled. This represents around 25% of total sales in the country and covers both the on- and off-premise channels.
The Control States are:
- Alabama
- Idaho
- Iowa
- Maine
- Michigan
- Mississippi
- Montana
- New Hampshire
- North Carolina
- Ohio
- Oregon
- Pennsylvania
- Utah
- Vermont
- Virginia
- West Virginia
- Wyoming
There are also control municipalities in Alaska, Minnesota and South Dakota.
Why 2024 proved to be a sobering experience for the alcohol industry in the US – Market Intel
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