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Why retention trumps recruitment for maturing RTD category – Category Intel

IWSR
Last updated: 30/10/2026 at 4:40 PM
By IWSR
30 October 2026
6 Min Read

RTDs are poised to be the main driver of beverage alcohol growth in the years ahead. As the category continues to establish itself in the market, consumption frequency and consumer retention have become the key strategic objectives for brand owners.


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Credit: Vitaly Kushnir/Pexels
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RTDs are still bucking the negative trends seen across most of today’s beverage alcohol market. As the category continues to grow share, however, the drive for volume growth is shifting from recruitment to retention – as well as maintaining or growing consumption frequency.

Last year, according to IWSR’s ‘RTDs Strategic Study 2026‘, which focuses on the world’s ten leading markets*, accounting for more than 80% of the global category, RTD volumes grew by 2%, while value outstripped that figure, with an 8% rise.

Sales by value grew ahead of volumes in seven out of the top ten (T10) markets – the exceptions being Canada, China and Germany – and RTDs now account for 4% of total beverage alcohol (TBA) servings, up from 1% in 2015.

Looking to the future, IWSR‘s forecasts indicate that RTDs will continue to gain share of TBA, with volume growth forecast in all ten markets. These share gains are compounded by wider TBA losses in all countries except Brazil, Mexico and South Africa. In 2025, RTDs’ share of servings was 3.8%, up from 2.7% in 2020 – and is predicted to rise further by 2030, to 4.4%.

“As RTDs continue to expand their presence in the global marketplace, the emphasis is moving from recruitment to retention,” says IWSR’s head of RTD insights, Susie Goldspink. “Recruitment, particularly among younger consumers reaching legal drinking age, remains a source of growth, but consumption frequency and consumer retention are key drivers.

“Across the T10, most RTD buyers entered the category three or more years ago, with new entrants representing only 4% of RTD buyers in 2026.” However, the picture varies by market: in Germany, one of the least developed RTD markets in the T10, 12% of RTD consumers entered the category in 2026, while in Japan, it was 7%. At the other end of the scale, only 1% of RTD consumers in China were new entrants this year, while in Mexico, it was 2%.

These new entrants to the category tend to display different characteristics to established RTD buyers, according to IWSR consumer research. They skew to Gen Z and Millennial, and are more likely not only to buy RTDs ‘on the go’ in retail, but also to be occasional drinkers of RTDs.

They are also less likely than older drinkers to be influenced by well-known brands.

As the cadence of consumption becomes a more important factor the share of RTD consumers who are ‘frequent’ drinkers (ie drink once a week or more) is remaining stable at 50% across the T10 markets. This has occurred despite falls for other TBA categories, highlighting RTDs’ resilience against more general market declines. However, the UK and China now have fewer frequent RTD consumers compared rto last year, with China retreating to levels similar to 2023.

In demographic terms, males and Millennials continue to be the most frequent RTD consumers.

Brand loyalty is another important factor in retention – and there are signs that loyalty is increasing, especially among Gen Z consumers, as RTD brands become more established. According to IWSR consumer research, 44% of RTD consumers are brand-loyal when their preferred RTD isn’t available, seeking their preferred choice elsewhere or selecting another within the brand range; this is significantly higher than in 2025.

“Here, distribution and shelf strategy are key,” explains Goldspink. “RTD buyers are still more likely to be non-loyal. Buyers with narrow consumption timelines – those purchasing to drink on the same day – are more likely to switch to a similar flavour from a different brand if their preferred RTD is not available.

“Flavour, rather than brand, is the stronger driver for same-day consumption, highlighting the importance of strong availability and in-store activation.”

IWSR research also indicates that RTD buyers making their selections for social status and moderation  reasons are more likely to be brand-loyal, presenting opportunities for brands to reinforce that loyalty through premium positioning and moderation-focused product extensions.

“The purchasing of RTDs is increasingly omnichannel, growing across e-commerce and the on- and off-premise, while serving habits vary by generation,” says Goldspink. “Premium-minded, older consumers increasingly pour their RTDs into a glass, while the category remains a grab-and-go, straight from the can option for Millennials.

“Channel and format strategy should be tailored by sub-category and occasion, rather than applied uniformly.”

*Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, Germany, Japan, Mexico, South Africa, the UK and the US

IWSR’s ‘RTDs Strategic Study 2026’ and ‘US Spirits-based RTD Report 2026’ are both available now. For more information, head here to request a callback.

‘We will stretch how the category grows, including with RTDs’ – Diageo’s global category director for whisk(e)y & luxury, Julie Bramham, speaks to Global Drinks Intel

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